Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 60.881910 68.959844 77.290761 86.493885 96.345462 106.546524 117.879341
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 48.401932 59.862046 72.286701 86.631613 102.615109 119.764478 139.444229
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 40.942456 54.187944 69.095998 86.858108 107.197281 129.534621 155.699736
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 35.627475 50.127314 66.994319 87.632923 111.800810 138.840250 171.023025
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 30.477868 45.613611 63.802928 86.631313 113.922458 144.972137 182.453744
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 27.358457 43.231861 62.850149 87.998169 118.572151 153.823563 196.850153
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 24.891984 41.407277 62.356349 89.726560 123.498670 162.889429 211.424106
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 21.670353 38.255186 59.921586 88.828928 125.071472 167.863733 221.112273
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 18.379615 34.674260 56.657865 86.646506 124.870107 170.565473 227.991399
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 17.447475 34.361279 57.650828 89.859201 131.324342 181.263915 244.391150
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 16.295710 33.606291 57.960968 92.122252 136.551023 190.460932 259.005477
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 14.208630 31.224327 55.871065 91.092647 137.507770 194.368560 267.201460
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 12.257060 28.878423 53.715337 89.902695 138.234426 198.013837 275.149741
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.888852 27.342228 52.620997 90.076052 140.675457 203.766237 285.674297
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.681418 25.941553 51.624529 90.303470 143.128349 209.496364 296.152978
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.732007 24.889210 51.074929 91.097772 146.291824 216.103217 307.713493
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.480346 23.117365 49.305334 90.071712 146.961653 219.502901 315.267842
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.853411 22.472719 49.251239 91.471793 150.871625 227.030209 327.977210
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.351870 22.019908 49.467114 93.241897 155.275311 235.197063 341.508355
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.417351 20.527073 47.899276 92.322640 155.960383 238.540934 348.964572
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.384108 18.625088 45.518625 90.087287 154.751405 239.368308 353.198709
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.278933 18.871892 46.797307 93.377727 161.225136 250.233585 370.190058
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.040017 18.760676 47.439932 95.694904 166.346414 259.345189 384.980350